Monday, December 17, 2012

China's Champions Face Growing Skepticism

Monday December 17, 2012 – Greg Scoblete

The rise of China is the one of the most discussed topics in geopolitics, but its rise is no less significant in the smaller corner of the network infrastructure world. And just as China's rise has ruffled the feathers of established powers like the U.S. and Japan, the growing global presence of Chinese telecommunications firms isn't sitting well with the West.

Two of China's telecom powerhouses, Huawei and ZTE, have run into trouble with U.S. and European regulators. Both firms make a raft of network and consumer products, including routers, switches, mobile phones and set-top boxes. In October, the U.S. House Intelligence Committee declared that both companies posed a security risk and advised U.S. companies to avoid doing business with them.

The fear is that the close collaboration between both ZTE and Huawei and the Chinese government could open up U.S. communications networks to spying. This may sound paranoid or reminiscent of Cold War-era distrust, but there's reason to be concerned. China is notorious for its industrial espionage and the linkages between ZTE and Huawei and China's ruling communist party are opaque. (To be fair, the U.S. is no slouch when it comes to the espionage game either).  

Questions regarding both firms have bubbled up in Europe as well, although there the concerns center around price-fixing. The executive arm of the European Union recently concluded that both ZTE and Huawei were guilty of dumping wireless infrastructure products into Europe at below-market prices to gain share and disadvantage European firms. A report in Forbes also noted that concerns have spread into markets typically friendly to Chinese firms, such as India (where a state agency recommended banning both firms) and Australia (which forbid Huawei from bidding on the building of a broadband network).

Competitors have been quick to pounce on the wounded firms. Cisco, for instance, wasted no time in bashing both firms publicly and cutting ties with ZTE.

Still, business marches on and neither company looks likely to be permanently derailed by their setbacks. ZTE recently gained access to Nagra's set-top box customers, giving them a broad spectrum of European cable customers to market to. Moreover, the firm's positions in IPTV middleware and set-top boxes is likely to strengthen as pay TV growth accelerates in Asian markets.

For its part, Huawei has just opened up an R&D facility in Helsinki (following a massive investment in the UK) and will be employing more Europeans in the coming year - facts which will surely weigh on the minds of European Union regulators as they plot next steps for dealing with the allegations of market manipulation.

Nonetheless, for both companies, close association with the Communist party may prove to be a liability if geopolitical tensions spill over into commercial considerations.